You’ve waited all year long. You knew this was coming.
Although, to be perfectly honest, I don’t know why any of us bother entering any of my contests anymore. Not when one of us has been making a complete mockery of them all.
Long-time reader and even longer-time gambler, RonBets,showed us all last year that perfection, in this contest, is possible.
As you all know, every year, I assemble my over/under contest where you choose ten NFL teams and guess whether they will finish either over or under their projected win total. This will be the contest’s ninth season. Out of the countless readers and contributors who have entered, only once has a person gone ten for ten. That happened last year. All bow to Bets.
Previous winners include Hanahan, Ravenous, SpeedBeagle, Buck Fenson, KP, SportsAttitudes and even yours truly but we all remain in awe of Bets’ uncanny accuracy. He didn’t even deflate any footballs on his march to greatness.
But that was last year and this is this.
For those of you who have forgotten how to play, here are the contest rules:
Every year, prior to the NFL season, Las Vegas releases projected win totals for each team. Your job is to pick ten teams and assign them confidence points based on which teams you think will finish with either more or less wins than Vegas has predicted. Assign them confidence points in the comments section below with ten being the one you’re most positive about and one being the least.
As it has become an annual tradition to pick on the Dolphins, let’s use them as an example, which makes perfect sense considering Las Vegas projects them to be the worst team in the league. Miami’s over/under win total for the season (see below) is four-and-a-half games. (Again, newbies. Half games are to avoid a push.) If you are confident that the Dolphins won’t amass five wins this season, you would assign them ten confidence points and under four-and-a-half. Then assign nine confidence points to the team that you’re second most confident will win either over or under their projected number. For your tiebreaker, include how many combined wins the three Florida teams (Miami, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville) will have by season’s end.
Here are the projected win totals according to Vegas. You have until kick off of the first game, Thursday Sept 5, to get your entries in. This year’s winner will receive a fabulous SportsChump prize pack, their name in the SportsChump Hall of Fame and even more importantly, peace of mind.
Good luck, everyone, and happy wagering!
New England Patriots – 11
Kansas City Chiefs – 10.5
Los Angeles Rams – 10.5
New Orleans Saints – 10.5
Indianapolis Colts – 10
Philadelphia Eagles – 10
Los Angeles Chargers – 9.5
Chicago Bears – 9
Cleveland Browns – 9
Green Bay Packers – 9
Pittsburgh Steelers – 9
Minnesota Vikings – 9
Dallas Cowboys – 9
Atlanta Falcons – 8.5
Baltimore Ravens – 8.5
Seattle Seahawks – 8.5
Houston Texans – 8.5
Tennessee Titans – 8
San Francisco 49ers – 8
Jacksonville Jaguars – 8
Carolina Panthers – 7.5
New York Jets – 7.5
Denver Broncos – 7
Buffalo Bills – 7
Detroit Lions – 6.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 6.5
Washington Redskins – 6.5
Cincinnati Bengals – 6
New York Giants – 6
Oakland Raiders – 6
Arizona Cardinals – 5
Miami Dolphins – 4.5
Kansas City Chiefs Over 10
Philadelphia Eagles Over 9
Denver Broncos Over 8
Minnesota Vikings Over 7
Buffalo Bills Under 6
Miami Over 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 4
Jacksonville Jaguars Under 3
Carolina Panthers Over 2
Indianapolis Under 1
10- Kansas City OVER
9- New England OVER
8- LA Chargers OVER
7- Cleveland UNDER
6- New Orleans UNDER
5- Atlanta OVER
4- Seattle OVER
3- Arizona UNDER
2- New York Giants OVER
1- Dallas UNDER
Tie Breaker- 20
3-
10 – Kansas City Chiefs Over
9 – Los Angeles Rams Over
8 – Buffalo Bills Under
7 – San Francisco 49’s Under
6 – Miami Dolphins Over
5 – Jacksonville Jaguars Under
4 – Dallas Cowboys Over
3 – Pittsburgh Steelers Under
2 – New York Jets Under
1 – Green Bay Packers Under
10: Kansas City Chiefs – 10.5 Over
9: Miami Dolphins – 4.5 Under
8: San Francisco 49ers – 8 Under
7: Los Angeles Chargers – 9.5 Over
6: Oakland Raiders – 6 Under
5: Buffalo Bills – 7 Under
4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 6.5 Under
3: Carolina Panthers – 7.5 Under
2: New York Jets – 7.5 Over
1: Houston Texans – 8.5 Over
Tie-breaker: 17
And you better not be re-gifting the package you can win in my challenge…never mind, you won’t win that either…
https://dubsism.com/2019/08/11/announcing-surprises-super-bowl-of-surprises-2019-football-pick-em-challenge/
I see so far only D had the Colts at under 10, wisely and presciently.
I’m awaiting a new o/u number for the Colts so get the ten while it’s hot, people.
Jacoby Brisset won’t be mad. He’s used to people counting him out.
10. Colts – Under
9. Chiefs – Over
8. Falcons – Over
7. Bears – Over
6. Texans – Over
5. Chargers – Over
4. Ravens – Over
3. Panthers – Over
2. Bengals – Under
1. Rams – Under
Tie-breaker: 20 Wins
10 cp – Colts – under
9 cp – Saints – under
8 cp – Steelers – over
7 cp – Texans – over
6 cp – Jaguars – under
5 cp – Jets – over
4 cp – Lions – under
3 cp – Bucs – under
2 cp – Redskins – under
1 cp – Cardinals – under
Tiebreaker – 15 total wins
10. Indianapolis Colts – (10 wins – UNDER)
9. Washington Redskins – (6 1/2 wins – UNDER)
8. Oakland Raiders – (6 wins – UNDER)
7. Cincinnati Bengals – (6 wins – UNDER)
6. Baltimore Ravens – (8 1/2 wins – OVER)
5. Denver Broncos – (7 wins – OVER)
4. Los Angeles Chargers – (9 1/2 wins – OVER)
3. Buffalo Bills – (7 wins – OVER)
2. Carolina Panthers – (7 1/2 wins – OVER)
1. Atlanta Falcons – (8 1/2 wins – OVER)
Tiebreaker – 18
10 Colts under
9 Ravens over
8 Texans under
7 Seahawks over
6 Bills under
5 Eagles under
4 Cardinals over
3 Titans under
2 Cowboys over
1 Falcons over
Tiebreaker 20
Arizona Over
Tampa over
Bills under
Falcons over
Texans over
Cleveland over
Packers over
Chiefs under
Colts under
Seattle over
Tiebreaker 23
Forgot my tiebreaker for the Florida team’s wins.
Tiebreaker: 17
Okay, gang….
The host’s picks are in.
IND U 10
GB U 9
BAL U 8.5
HOU U 8.5
TEN O 8
SF U 8
KC U 10.5
CAR O 7.5
DET O 6.5
NO O 10.5
TB: 18
Captain White Belt reporting for duty
COLTS U
CHARGERS U
BRONCOS O
SKINS U
PANTHERS O
VIKES O
RAIDERS U
STEELERS O
TITANS U
HAWKS O
Tiebreaker 19
Good luck everyone, thanks to Chris for hosting
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