Ooh, what’s that smell?
Can’t you smell that smell?
Ooh, that smell?
The smell of football season!
With all apologies to Lynyrd Skynyrd, I thought I’d let the southern rock legends lead us into this year’s contest as… THE ANNUAL SPORTSCHUMP NFL OVER/UNDER CONTEST IS BACK!!!
And this year, these go to eleven!
That’s right, Spinal Tap, fans. Welcome to the eleventh year those of us at SportsChump have run this contest, some might say, into the ground. At eleven years old, we’re not quite bar mitzvah-ready but we’re at least preparing for our Haftorah. Go ahead, I dare you to find another sports website that mentions Skynyrd, Spinal Tap and Synagogues all within the opening paragraphs.
Before we get to the rules, let’s review last year’s results.
In retrospect, we saw very few surprises, meaning Las Vegas very likely took it on the chin. Injuries kept a slew of teams from reaching their goals but that happens every year and this is a no excuse league #NextManUp. Dak Prescott’s ankle kept Dallas from a successful season as did the injury to Joe Burrow in Cincinnati. The uninjured but clearly distracted Deshaun Watson led his Texans to a disappointing 4-12 record. Apparently, he had other things on his mind. The Jags, Lions and Jets all finished under their projected total (shocker) and the Chiefs, Saints, Packers, Steelers and Seahawks all finished over. If you couldn’t see that coming a mile away, then you weren’t paying attention.
Let’s see who was…
Here are your standings, in reverse order to build suspense:
J-Dub (20 out of 55 points): Dubs had no faith in the Rams, Browns or Washington football team that shall still remain nameless. Dubs also holds the distinction of finishing last in this contest the most times.
Fibbs (29 out of 55 points): Fibbs had the Jets winning over seven games. Fibbs lives in New York City. One would think Fibbs would know better.
TJ (30 out of 55 points): Putting all your eggs in the Broncos basket is never a good idea. Teej must be smoking what everyone else in Denver is smoking who thought the Broncos would once again be contenders.
SportsChump (33 out of 55 points): A non-believer in Kyler Murray, I had the Cardinals finishing under their projected total. I may draft him in fantasy this year as punishment.
Joey Mills (35 out of 55 points): Picking Houston and Jacksonville over their projected win totals were his demise. Someone should probably tell him the Titans own the AFC South, as they had twice as many wins last year as Houston and Jacksonville combined.
Speadbeagle (40 out of 55 points): Beags had the Ravens winning over 11.5 games. They finished with exactly 11 wins. That one screwed a lot of people.
Sauze Bauze (42 out of 55 points): A valiant effort to reach the top five but fell short by betting the wrong way on Houston and Minnesota.
KP (47 out of 55 points): Our only two-time champion sent me a text this week saying he thought he won the contest. Someone might want to break it to him that he did not.
BCole (49 out of 55 points): A third place finish for my fantasy football muse. She also does a better Godfather impression than me. More on that at a later date.
Deacon Blues (52 out of 55 points): So close and yet so far away. Deac missed his one and two pointers, both Florida teams. He had Miami under and Jacksonville over. See, folks? Those one-point games still matter.
And for our winner…
A laurel and hearty handshake go to… BNR Moose (55 out of 55 points): As is tradition with this site, I give pushes the points. The Chicago Bears were the only team to land exactly on their number: they finished with 8 wins and their projected win total was 8. Regardless, Moose had everything else in the pool right on so we’re giving him the nod as our newest champion. Sharp shootin’, Tex. E-mail me your particulars and I’ll get you out a hot off the press SportsChump t-shirt for your troubles.
Congrats to Moose for joining our NFL Over/Under Pick ‘Em Hall of Fame, which includes Hanahan, Ravenous, SpeedBeagle, Buck Fenson, KP (twice), SportsAttitudes, yours truly, and the only other person to go ten-for-ten, the incomparable Ronbets.
Now that we’ve got that out of the way, let’s move on to the 2021 season.
If you’ve entered this contest before, you’re likely familiar with the rules. If you haven’t, here ya’ go.
Every year, Las Vegas releases its projected over/under for NFL team win totals. Your job is to select ten teams and assign them confidence points (ten being the most, one the least) for whether you think their final win total will be over or under that projected number. Please list your predictions clearly in the comments section below. Remember, folks, there are 17 games this regular season.
Please get your picks in by kick-off of the first game. As always, include your tie-breaker with your picks, which is the total wins combined by all three Florida teams.
Without further ado, here are this year’s over/unders. As always, good luck and may all your wagers be winners.
Kansas City Chiefs 12.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12
Baltimore Ravens 11
Buffalo Bills 11
Los Angeles Rams 10.5
San Francisco 49ers 10.5
Cleveland Browns 10.5
Green Bay Packers 10
Seattle Seahawks 10
New England Patriots 9.5
Los Angeles Chargers 9.5
Miami Dolphins 9.5
New Orleans Saints 9
Tennessee Titans 9
Indianapolis Colts 9
Dallas Cowboys 9
Minnesota Vikings 9
Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5
Arizona Cardinals 8.5
Washington Football Team 8.5
Denver Broncos 8.5
Chicago Bears 7.5
Carolina Panthers 7.5
Atlanta Falcons 7.5
Las Vegas Raiders 7
New York Giants 7
Jacksonville Jaguars 6.5
Cincinnati Bengals 6.5
Philadelphia Eagles 6.5
New York Jets 6
Detroit Lions 4.5
Houston Texans 4